← All threads
POSITIONING

Golden Dome missile-defense demand

12-monthlast moved 2026-10-07

Golden Dome concentrates new US national-security orbital work in SpaceX and the primes. SpaceX holds $6.45bn across SB-AMTI and the Space Data Network Backbone, Pentagon tracking-data access, and a Sept 22 Greenland basing deal. The Senate's Sept 29 hearing put the programme at a revised $185bn total, with director Gen. Guetlein warning no FY2026 appropriations baseline exists and there is "no Golden Dome" without an FY27 appropriation. For SES it cuts both ways, deepening DoD dependence on SpaceX while sharpening IRIS²'s sovereign case. Falsifiers, untripped: a commercial GEO/MEO operator wins an SB-AMTI-scale award, or SpaceX's share falls below a third. Full detail: dossiers/golden-dome.md

USSovereign infrastructure demandCapital & survival